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How the anemic deal climate, record low distributions and massive unfunded capital commitments are pushing endowments further into illiquid private equity & venture capital, increasing risk & leverage in portfolios (and markets broadly)
How the anemic deal climate, record low distributions and massive unfunded capital commitments are pushing endowments further into illiquid private equity & venture capital, increasing risk & leverage in portfolios (and markets broadly)
The endowment portfolios of 50 years ago are barely recognizable. As the class of 2024 looks to the future and FY 2024 closes out, Robin Wigglesworth captures the evolution of the endowment model of investing very well in his Financial Times Alphaville piece, “American endowments’ complicated love affair with private equity.” When describing risks of private investments, he mentions MPI research FY2023 Ivy Report Card: Volatility Laundering and the Hangover from Private Markets Investing.
MPI’s CEO interviewed by John Authers‘ protege Richard Annerquaye Abbey on Ivy League endowments and how MPI Transparency Lab keeps tabs on risk, return and asset class attribution at the large, elite schools employing the Yale Model. See their Bloomberg Opinion “Points of Return” column “Don’t Declare the Death of the Yale Model Just Yet” covering MPI’s latest FY 2023 Ivy Report Card.
CIO Magazine’s Matt Toledo provides an analysis of both the NACUBO’s 2023 Fiscal Year study and MPI’s 9-th annual quantitative report of Ivy Endowment performance and risk. In his article U.S. College Endowments Gained 7.7% in Fiscal 2023, Although Suffer From Weak Alternatives Returns (ai-cio.com) “For multiple reasons it is unlikely that endowments that are heavily allocated to private markets and alternatives veer from the so called ‘Yale model’ after the challenges of fiscal year 2023. Our research shows that Ivy and elite endowments are risk takers, and their portfolios are not particularly efficient,” MPI CEO Michael Markov was quoted when discussing the possibility of shifting allocations to public equities.
An extensive coverage by Julie Segal in her Institutional Investor article of the MPI’s 9-th annual Ivy League endowment report. She writes: “With little transparency into endowment portfolios, MPI used its proprietary returns-based style analysis to determine the exposure that the Ivy League and elite colleges had to major asset classes — and their contribution to the performance of the entire portfolio in fiscal year 2023… Even in a good year, “you’re not going to get a lot of transparency,” Markov [MPI’s CEO] told Institutional Investor. “But in a bad year, you’ll get zero transparency from endowments. It’s not pensions where they have to give something to people.”
Matt Toledo with CIO Magazine reviews in this article recent performance of top endowments from Yale, UPenn and Stanford and compares them with projections from MPI Transparency Lab. “Stanford announced on Thursday a 4.4% return in fiscal 2023, slightly below MPI’s estimate of 6.42%. Stanford attributed its underperformance—as compared with Cambridge Associates’ 6.9% median return for university endowments—to losses in its venture capital investments, in line with MPI’s projections,” – he writes.
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We embarked on a project to estimate 2022 FY performance for Ivies and major US university endowments… weeks before official reports become available.
Institutional Investor features MPI’s latest research series on university endowments in fiscal year 2021. In the article, Co-founder and CEO Michael Markov discusses how asset allocation played a far more important role in returns than manager selection.
Haunted by the ghosts of 2009, Harvard endowment’s lower risk appetite still pays off with a 33.6% return.